Chilly-Guilt
0xf16d7bd98f297650b77655ef68520ea4fc492a01
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$57.54
Total PnL
$-744.59
Realised
$-9.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.46
$28.46
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.94
$2.94
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
19 shares @ 52.2¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.14
$-3.86
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$2.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1270 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-221.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
774 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.94
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
628 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
550 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$25.58May 2, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$25.72May 2, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$54.42May 2, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$74.43May 2, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$51.80May 2, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$10.36May 2, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.35May 1, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.32May 1, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.24May 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$10.00Apr 17, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.00Apr 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.00Apr 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$10.00Apr 16, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$5.00Apr 16, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.00Apr 16, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$7.41Apr 16, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $13.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".