Testy-Activity
0xf16fffe62432a3087b2a647df6cf05b566819f16
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$64.2K
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?
7000 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.9K
$42.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?
6802 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.8K
$118.92
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?
6595 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.6K
$129.91
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?
6185 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.2K
$43.92
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
4666 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.6K
$43.34
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
4000 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.9K
$6.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?
3080 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.1K
$107.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
3000 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.0K
$58.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
3000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.0K
$10.50
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $48 in July?
2942 shares @ 98.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.8K
$-120.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$941.65Jul 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?$110.76Jul 29, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?$79.41Jul 29, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 27-August 2?$886.05Jul 29, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 27-August 2?$990.00Jul 29, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?$1.8KJul 29, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 27-August 2?$99.00Jul 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$54.97Jul 29, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$401.42Jul 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$502.78Jul 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$502.78Jul 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$502.78Jul 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$502.78Jul 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$502.78Jul 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 27-August 2?$4.95Jul 29, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$349.32Jul 28, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$615.00Jul 28, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$1.2KJul 28, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$64.65Jul 28, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 6?
$7.8K · 57% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $825.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.