Organic-Crewman
0xf174cb221b8540cc3bb5102aefb043d7d2d47dd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$90.09
Total PnL
$-17.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$90.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 26?
1410 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 10?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 27?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 October 6-12?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$90.00Jun 8, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$90.09Jun 8, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$90.00May 28, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$90.09May 28, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$90.00May 23, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$90.09May 23, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$90.00May 17, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$3.15May 17, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?$93.09May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?$93.00May 12, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?$93.09May 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?$93.01May 7, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$93.09May 7, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$93.00May 3, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$93.09May 3, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$93.00Apr 26, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 22?$93.09Apr 26, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 22?$93.00Apr 22, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?$92.09Apr 22, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?$92.00Apr 18, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $75.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.