Legitimate-Clerk-Hops
0xf184d367dd790d17d7bf4f0b617574e7cdf2a1e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.43
Realised
$30.91
Win rate
81%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 21?
192 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 13?
189 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 28?
187 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?
184 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?
182 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?
180 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 8?
177 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 14?
160 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 28?
155 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?$2.86Jun 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?$10.06Jun 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 18?$0.05Jun 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?$1.03Jun 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?$1.04Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 17?$0.54Jun 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 17?$0.26Jun 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?$0.80Jun 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?$1.05Jun 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 17?$1.05Jun 16, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?$5.56Jun 15, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 15?$0.18Jun 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 15?$0.42Jun 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?$0.50Jun 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?$0.29Jun 14, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?$0.24Jun 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14?$1.01Jun 14, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 14?$1.04Jun 14, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14?$1.69Jun 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 15?$0.42Jun 14, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
37 closed markets, 81% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.