Lively-Hardboard
0xf1879bcf95ad31c43be1deea77a51572d5b301fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?
1400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
50 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?$14.00Mar 21, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?$30.00Mar 20, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?$13.50Feb 10, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAWS service disrupted by March 31?$9.06Feb 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by March 31?$7.90Feb 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$3.40Feb 1, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?$7.92Feb 1, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?$0.77Feb 1, 03:00 UTC
- MERGEU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?$20.00Feb 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?$4.01Feb 1, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by March 31?$1.03Jan 31, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$0.96Jan 31, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$1.49Jan 31, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?$1.11Jan 31, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?$0.32Jan 31, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?$14.02Jan 31, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?$2.13Jan 31, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?$4.25Jan 31, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$0.15Jan 31, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?$4.60Jan 31, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 04:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".