Knotty-Bother
0xf18829c46f8b0513fefc91af0243ec51ccd0f6b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.12
Total PnL
$-2.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will J.D. Vance say "Usha" during the March for Life?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PayPal say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Die" be said 5+ times during the Taipei 101 climb?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Die" be said 5+ times during the Taipei 101 climb?$1.00Jan 24, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill J.D. Vance say "Trump" during the March for Life?$1.03Jan 24, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance say "Usha" during the March for Life?$1.00Jan 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance say "God" 3+ times during the March for Life?$1.32Jan 23, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance say "Trump" during the March for Life?$1.00Jan 23, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$1.16Jan 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance say "God" 3+ times during the March for Life?$1.00Jan 23, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winner$0.00Jan 23, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winner$2.04Jan 23, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$1.00Jan 23, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$0.49Jan 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.00Jan 23, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winner$2.00Jan 23, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$2.22Jan 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$2.00Jan 22, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$1.01Jan 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$1.00Jan 22, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.00Jan 22, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".