Happy-Inauguration
0xf18db83400395b16f6c657d5a865a4d9461d42ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$57.72
Total PnL
$-211.06
Realised
$-0.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
233 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$26.83
$5.83
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
440 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.50
$-2.50
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
18 shares @ 16.5¢·now 21.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.01
$0.98
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
9 shares @ 45.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.29
$-1.71
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 8.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
17 shares @ 5.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00May 17, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$1.03May 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$1.03May 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$3.08May 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?$10.45May 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$1.00May 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00May 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00May 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00May 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?$10.45May 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$20.95May 11, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Apr 8, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Apr 8, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.00Apr 8, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Apr 8, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Apr 8, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Apr 8, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hope & Love - Eddy Kenzo & Mehran Matin" win Best African Music Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Apr 8, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $14.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".