Internal-Eyelash
0xf18de4f3d720a575667a089c2d4da4d47b153ec0
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$457.46
Total PnL
$-404.20
Realised
$-35.65
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18?
256 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$255.56
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18?
202 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$201.90
$0.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7AM ET
209 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.86
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?
200 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
100 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-59.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5AM ET
57 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-26.29
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11?
54 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.35
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 29 2026?
53 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
49 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17?$745.14Aug 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18?$201.62Aug 18, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18?$255.18Aug 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17?$38.80Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17?$704.13Aug 17, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?$1.7KAug 17, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?$50.00Aug 17, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?$1.1KAug 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?$49.90Aug 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?$10.74Aug 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?$106.22Aug 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?$450.30Aug 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 11?$500.00Aug 12, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?$1.3KAug 12, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?$1.2KAug 11, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 10?$577.91Aug 11, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 11?$499.00Aug 10, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 10?$8.12Aug 10, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 10?$13.13Aug 10, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 10?$499.00Aug 10, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $264.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.