Positive-Toughguy
0xf1ace42f1ee811b5d8dc1b8a4b086fb2fc15e52e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$78.21
Total PnL
$1.19
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$4.50
$0.00
- NO
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$4.36
$0.00
- NO
Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$4.29
$0.09
- NO
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?
4 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$3.60
$0.10
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$3.47
$0.17
- YES
Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
3 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$3.36
$0.06
- NO
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$3.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$3.30
$0.00
- YES
Will the Bloc Québécois win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$3.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$2.20Apr 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?$1.32Apr 4, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?$3.90Apr 4, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?$4.39Apr 4, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.97Apr 4, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.99Apr 4, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$6.99Apr 4, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City wins the Premier League?$7.99Apr 4, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLChelsea wins the Premier League?$10.98Apr 4, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$3.00Apr 3, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.00Apr 3, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$19.60Apr 3, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$1.20Apr 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?$3.30Apr 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.50Apr 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$22.85Apr 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS lifts Russia sanctions before April?$3.30Apr 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bloc Québécois win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$3.00Apr 1, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$4.20Apr 1, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?$5.00Apr 1, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $17.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".