Stale-Stepgrandmother
0xf1af8b53c8d3309ba086eb1fb472f05ef6086ff3
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$59.36
Total PnL
$-328.43
Realised
$-3.33
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
199 shares @ 25.1¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.29
$-10.57
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
159 shares @ 15.8¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.07
$-4.93
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
218 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
139 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
93 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-15.01
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.10
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
43 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
43 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
37 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- CAVALIERS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
34 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $8.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.