Impartial-Authentication
0xf1b039cd91c9aa22e066e15d53696d4437075768
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$165.45
Total PnL
$-382.43
Realised
$-10.78
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
3082 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.14
$-4.67
- YES
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
1770 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.32
$13.01
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6710 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-352.45
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
405 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.54
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$2.08Aug 8, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$8.00Aug 7, 16:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$26.29Aug 6, 19:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$21.80Aug 3, 18:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $15.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.