Cold-Holiday
0xf1b29b5ad60ca3243e383d83dc4c8eeec40fa321
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-33.8K
Realised
$234.66
Win rate
58%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
7300 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$401.52
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2000 shares @ 83.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.5K
$-185.95
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
2239 shares @ 57.1¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$314.60
$-964.23
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.00
$-177.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
10034 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.27
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2850 shares @ 49.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.55
$-1.4K
- YES
Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?
787 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.07
$-7.16
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$37.50
$-32.50
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
2500 shares @ 48.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.25
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
2000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$-315.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$527.84Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.5KJun 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$7.03Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3.6KJun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.7KJun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$477.94Jun 2, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.2KJun 1, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.9KJun 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$912.86May 31, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$37.61May 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$6.28May 20, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$73.87May 20, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$12.45May 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$12.55May 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$23.24May 20, 08:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.16May 20, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.19May 20, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.83May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$134.26May 19, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$855.10May 19, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $545.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.