Inborn-Duck
0xf1d0bbb7f045216149c1652b8f094c67051b9ddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.97
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.40Apr 27, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Phoenix Suns finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?$1.57Feb 28, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill no one dissent the December Fed decision?$1.60Feb 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the December Fed decision?$1.56Dec 1, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.28Nov 26, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1.28Nov 26, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.41Nov 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.27Oct 9, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.23Jul 16, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1.19Mar 6, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$0.00Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$0.00Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.12Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.13Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.18Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.21Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$0.22Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.36Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$0.66Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.20Jan 14, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $60.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 01:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.