Honest-Galoshes
0xf1db9a03394d14f176c229eb7fadb34473144b7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.27
Total PnL
$-6.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23?
87 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 22?
115 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.50
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 22?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 23?
38 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?
33 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 22?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 22?
104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on May 22?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 22?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23?$1.05May 21, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?$0.31May 21, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on May 22?$1.05May 20, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 22?$1.05May 20, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 22?$1.05May 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 22?$1.05May 20, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 22?$1.05May 20, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 22?$1.05May 20, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 21?$1.05May 20, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$3.61Jan 22, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$3.36Jan 6, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang say "Ray Traced" or "Ray Tracing" during NVIDIA keynote?$0.00Jan 6, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?$0.00Jan 6, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang say "Gemini" or "Perplexity" 4+ times during NVIDIA keynote?$1.11Jan 6, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang say "Bubble" during NVIDIA keynote?$1.19Jan 6, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang say "Self-Driving" 3+ times during NVIDIA keynote?$1.56Jan 6, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang say "Self-Driving" 3+ times during NVIDIA keynote?$1.00Jan 4, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang say "Gemini" or "Perplexity" 4+ times during NVIDIA keynote?$1.00Jan 4, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".