Near-Twilight
0xf1e2b8f6f1b58eca2813f0f91eb624e1f871c86f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$10.78
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-31.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.96
$0.16
- YES
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.88
$-1.48
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
34 shares @ 29.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.52
$-9.48
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
4298 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-63.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 22-28?
939 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-133.53
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?
655 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5
579 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-330.00
- OVER
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5
528 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-272.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?
500 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-192.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".