Slippery-Champagne
0xf1f1431412b49e16916e7c95b1551564b94c2d5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-189.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
317 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$220.05
$-7.95
- NO
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?
210 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$206.78
$1.78
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?
205 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$201.94
$1.94
- NO
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?
204 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$200.73
$0.73
- NO
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?
202 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$200.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
197 shares @ 76.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$183.47
$33.47
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$123.73
$23.73
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
230 shares @ 54.2¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$115.24
$-9.76
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?
107 shares @ 93.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$104.15
$4.15
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?
99 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$98.31
$8.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$10.26Jun 19, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMo Touré: 1+ goals$15.36Jun 19, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by June 30?$6.22Jun 19, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?$205.21Jun 19, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?$45.88Jun 19, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?$200.08Jun 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?$200.17Jun 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$35.03Jun 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$5.21Jun 19, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?$20.71Jun 19, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$10.45Jun 19, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$170.45Jun 19, 09:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?$44.12Jun 16, 01:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$26.00Jun 15, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAI data center in space by December 31, 2027?$41.32Jun 15, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $60.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.