Elated-Democrat
0xf1f513bb5684e05f4c997f29bff461388d196a9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
4660 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.66
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
3787 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-22.72
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
2303 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.58
- YES
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
2120 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1595 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.57
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1571 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?
683 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-19.96
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?
515 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$7.60Dec 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$3.00Dec 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.53Dec 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 28?$1.00Dec 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.38Dec 26, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.64Dec 26, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?$2.20Dec 26, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$1.00Dec 25, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.22Dec 25, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.24Dec 25, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.09Dec 25, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.05Dec 25, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$2.00Dec 25, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Dec 25, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on December 24?$1.00Dec 24, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on December 24?$1.00Dec 24, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 39°C on December 24?$1.00Dec 24, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on December 24?$1.00Dec 24, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.43Dec 23, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".