Modern-Cuticle
0xf1f5a5e47ccead608174d65eb56c8756b0754807
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$37.88
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$293.88
Win rate
88%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.18
$0.18
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.63
$-2.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.84
$3.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.59
$-4.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.91
$-4.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026?
48 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.07
$-4.70
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
767 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$10.592h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$10.482h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.072h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$10.592h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.072h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.302h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.312h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.282h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.322h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.312h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$25.932h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.282h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.202h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$5.322h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.073h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.313h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.123h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.073h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$24.963h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.303h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
