Spherical-Cicada
0xf1fcf038f970c5f4a518c11bc0b49bb12f575d64
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.96
Total PnL
$-73.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.96
$-6.04
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
4667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
1413 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.38
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
541 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?
424 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?
132 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on January 31?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?
32 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike another country before 2027?$13.38Jan 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike another country first?$10.00Jan 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?$10.00Jan 21, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?$32.81Jan 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$10.00Jan 20, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?$8.00Jan 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?$10.00Jan 19, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 19, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on January 31?$1.00Jan 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?$10.00Jan 19, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$14.00Jan 19, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $8.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.