Smoggy-Exclamation
0xf204c5a23853d7c7ead4e6d8ad929273bae7613f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$44.14
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Komeito hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$13.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?
12 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$12.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$7.36
$0.04
- NO
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
4 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$4.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?
3 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.63
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Komeito hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$13.00Jun 28, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?$7.32Jun 28, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?$12.00Jun 28, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$4.00Jun 28, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$1.82Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$3.49Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recession before May 2025?$4.02Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?$4.24Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.04Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?$12.01Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$13.14Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recession before May 2025?$4.00Apr 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.00Apr 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$13.00Apr 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.00Apr 21, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$3.30Apr 21, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$49.95Apr 21, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sevilla FC win La Liga?$2.00Apr 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$3.30Apr 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Florida Panthers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$3.33Apr 21, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.