Supportive-Humanity
0xf2069a6caf08eff3d865779ff60d531ec32fcd50
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-403.38
Realised
$-29.04
Win rate
0%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2020 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?
454 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
375 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
278 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
193 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?$5.12Jul 7, 20:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal to score first vs. Spain?$3.06Jul 6, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jul 6, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 5, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 5, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway to score first vs. Brazil?$14.98Jul 5, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$0.41Jul 5, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Brazil?$6.11Jul 5, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$2.06Jul 3, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?$6.13Jun 30, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek$5.11Jun 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?$11.22Jun 28, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?$5.10Jun 28, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Croatia 3 - 1 Ghana?$6.15Jun 27, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGhana to score first vs. Croatia?$5.10Jun 27, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?$5.14Jun 26, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
36 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.