Paltry-Particular
0xf2088ef95f5c1c0eee2640e8da537d6a1c175eef
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
24784 shares @ 17.2¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.5K
$1.2K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
4280 shares @ 37.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.4K
$754.97
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
1159 shares @ 83.5¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$415.49
$-551.95
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
400 shares @ 82.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$345.71
$15.89
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
140 shares @ 75.3¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.68
$-6.07
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 14.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$94.12
$38.05
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
24 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$22.02
$0.73
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
202 shares @ 30.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.10
$-47.34
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-3.90
- YES
Stripe IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.56Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$32.96Jul 10, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $189.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.