Aggravating-Requirement
0xf20ad10cf567181bd06c9ff761b231a21ce5e71a
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.47
Realised
$-27.23
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
686 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?
587 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
446 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-67.68
- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
250 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?
244 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 28?
155 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?$25.37Mar 4, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?$10.64Mar 4, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?$100.00Mar 4, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$7.03Feb 28, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.47Feb 28, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.00Feb 26, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.74Feb 24, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$3.62Feb 24, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.75Feb 24, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Feb 24, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$8.00Feb 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$20.00Feb 11, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$27.43Feb 8, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$20.00Feb 8, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$8.59Feb 7, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$40.00Feb 7, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$28.08Feb 7, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$3.10Feb 7, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$10.00Feb 7, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.