Political-Dairy
0xf20f441dd313c05e25b5c3e0960e6a77d377f872
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$2.10
Total PnL
$-283.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?
248 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.10
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 4?
275 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 12?
274 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 12?
274 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will Mauritania win on 2025-11-12?
274 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.38
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on November 15?
273 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 1?
273 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5?
271 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 December 1-7?
271 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 18?
271 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?$4.23May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$26.94May 15, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?$24.88May 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?$23.16May 8, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.50 and $2.60 on November 17?$0.00Apr 30, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 21?$2.25Apr 21, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 29?$27.05Apr 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 15?$2.34Apr 15, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on November 13?$0.00Apr 11, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 15?$0.00Mar 31, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Mar 30, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 29?$24.89Mar 29, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHYPE Up or Down on March 28?$19.64Mar 28, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 27?$39.61Mar 28, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 27?$38.50Mar 27, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?$48.86Mar 27, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?$47.49Mar 26, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 24?$37.91Mar 25, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 24?$36.62Mar 23, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 18?$40.80Mar 21, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $26.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".