Present-Disruption
0xf213b6ba7a5623f8ca0269e958c99c921f342783
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.65
Realised
$-5.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
891 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
545 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
146 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$6.00Apr 17, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$4.00Apr 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.29Apr 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Apr 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.88Apr 17, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?$2.00Apr 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Apr 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$16.00Apr 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$12.99Apr 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$13.00Apr 16, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$7.00Apr 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$11.00Apr 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$2.00Apr 16, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.