Simple-Flow
0xf215e22c34678d3e53d1b74fafa6a2b0111e8559
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-148.18
Realised
$2.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?
1015 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.0K
$8.12
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of August 3 2026?
533 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$531.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 3 2026?
457 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$448.86
$-1.14
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?
451 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$444.26
$11.12
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?
26 shares @ 98.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$24.24
$-0.76
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?
26 shares @ 98.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$22.83
$-2.17
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $262.50 Week of August 3 2026?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$20.07
$0.07
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$18.17
$-1.83
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?$6.00Aug 4, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?$19.82Aug 4, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at <$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?$25.02Aug 4, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at <$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?$25.02Aug 4, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?$20.01Aug 4, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of August 3 2026?$532.04Aug 4, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $262.50 Week of August 3 2026?$20.01Aug 4, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?$43.25Aug 3, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 Week of August 3 2026?$500.81Aug 3, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 3 2026?$450.27Aug 2, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?$1.0KAug 1, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.0KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$1.0KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMGRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?$501.59Jul 31, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.3KJul 31, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of July?$60.60Jul 31, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?$201.21Jul 31, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in July?$302.35Jul 31, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of July?$60.00Jul 31, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.0KJul 31, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $462.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.