Gracious-Contrast
0xf226c7b819ef819fd3cce82c0400892c2c3a8dfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$53.00
Total PnL
$24.38
Realised
$24.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$10.00
$0.02
- NO
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.00
$0.32
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.08
- NO
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$10.00
$0.01
- NO
10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$8.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.04
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$4.96Nov 30, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$9.92Nov 8, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?$9.99Aug 31, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?$9.68Jul 8, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$9.98Apr 30, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?$7.99Mar 31, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?$67.56Mar 31, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?$67.49Feb 28, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEM Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?$67.49Feb 28, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?$66.55Feb 4, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$1.50Jan 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$1.50Jan 17, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?$4.00Jan 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?$5.98Dec 29, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$2.50Dec 27, 18:23 UTC
- MERGEFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$50.00Dec 27, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$49.50Dec 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.10Dec 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$2.50Dec 27, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?$4.00Dec 27, 17:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.