0xf23dbd78044b785bcd47c838ee5a52a2e6d1e34a
0xf23dbd78044b785bcd47c838ee5a52a2e6d1e34a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$94.43
Total PnL
$7.64
Realised
$1.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021?
45 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2021$45.23
$3.43
- NO
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1?
15 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2021$15.00
$0.81
- NO
Will a 2nd monkeypox case be reported in the US by August 1?
10 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2021$10.00
$0.44
- YES
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics?
10 shares @ 66.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2021$10.00
$3.37
- NO
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1?
10 shares @ 59.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2021$9.97
$4.05
- YES
Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021?
4 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2021$4.24
$0.74
- NO
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
10 shares @ 67.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$0.00
$-6.76
- YES
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15?
2 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2021$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.