Alarming-Saving
0xf23f7f452be80991706b2ec2ae942f886d80beab
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.08
Total PnL
$-18.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$5.08
$2.08
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on October 4?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
14 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on August 18?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
8 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on October 4?$1.00Oct 3, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on August 18?$3.00Aug 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$3.00Aug 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $2.00Aug 17, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$12.20Aug 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Aug 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$1.00Aug 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$2.00Aug 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$10.00Aug 12, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$2.00Aug 12, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$3.00Aug 12, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$2.00Aug 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Aug 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$1.00Aug 12, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?$1.00Aug 12, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on August 31?$1.00Aug 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.00Aug 12, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 3, 21:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".