Grouchy-Grip
0xf240e23b43b06e5db8356bedd6146bd6e654f825
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-98.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$289.20
$19.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 85.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$241.65
$10.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
190 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$187.25
$7.56
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
190 shares @ 76.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$147.25
$2.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 89.7¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$146.40
$11.90
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$97.65
$12.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$95.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
170 shares @ 58.4¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.95
$-8.35
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.50
$12.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$41.25
$7.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.