Measly-Endoderm
0xf24d7f5f95b2f077ad40bbf203de51963a786a5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$10.73
Total PnL
$-338.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.51
$1.51
- NO
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
45 shares @ 8.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$-2.77
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
9 shares @ 23.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.82
$-1.18
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.00Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.61Mar 31, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2.70Mar 31, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 2, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$1.00Feb 27, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 23:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.