Actual-Catalysis
0xf24e6b811d0cea4984794bc6bba87bf44bd45b33
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-164.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
600 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
32 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by 2025?
24 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.35
- NO
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
21 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump baby bonus before July?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$2.00Dec 9, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.33Dec 9, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.02Dec 9, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$90.00Dec 6, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$35.33Dec 2, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$50.00Nov 24, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$28.76Nov 24, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)$75.27Nov 7, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)$100.00Nov 7, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$20.00Nov 7, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$1.15Nov 7, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Comment" during June Press Conference?$3.28Nov 7, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before July?$4.55Nov 7, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?$5.88Nov 7, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$106.69Nov 7, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$0.00Jun 10, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMAnother India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?$0.00May 19, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his May 13 interview?$0.00May 19, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $16.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 04:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".