Plaintive-Budget
0xf251c437174164e40c8f73f3a0fada5ce19a6920
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$41.67
Total PnL
$-688.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.67
$-58.33
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?
2426 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Mircea Cărtărescu win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?
1101 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
687 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-230.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$52.35May 16, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$100.00Jan 7, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mircea Cărtărescu win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?$300.00Oct 7, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 8?$50.00Aug 7, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$600.15Aug 7, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$240.06May 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$230.00Oct 30, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $162.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".