Troubled-Folklore
0xf270e473235e4af87a848c716c22c4dbaa0c07b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.31
Total PnL
$-1.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Ryan Reynolds & Blake Lively divorce in 2025?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.63
$0.00
- NO
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 66.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$329.67Nov 5, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$1.00Nov 4, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?$10.00Nov 4, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$332.30Nov 4, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$437.79Nov 4, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$438.70Nov 4, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?$3.00Nov 4, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.03Nov 4, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?$1.06Nov 4, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Iran on June 16?$1.09Nov 4, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMIranian coup attempt before July?$1.14Nov 4, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$2.17Nov 4, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 16?$1.00Jun 15, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$2.00Jun 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?$1.00Jun 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIranian coup attempt before July?$1.00Jun 15, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$1.01Jun 15, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?$1.35Jun 15, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?$1.43Jun 15, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRyan Reynolds & Blake Lively divorce in 2025?$3.00Mar 17, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $44.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.