Graceful-Gladiolus
0xf286103beb7d44f0f46c2cb1506e0a2c9eedf6cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$34.38
Total PnL
$-311.71
Realised
$-96.12
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
19 shares @ 25.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$19.46
$14.46
- YES
Selena Gomez married in 2025?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.93
$4.93
- NO
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?
463 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?
418 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Human to human bird flu transmission before February?
317 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.55
- YES
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?
309 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.50
- YES
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?
119 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$5.00Jun 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$1.50Feb 21, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu declared public health emergency before April?$2.00Feb 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?$5.00Jan 28, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELL100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?$3.51Jan 27, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJustin & Hailey Bieber divorce before April?$5.00Jan 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu declared public health emergency before April?$5.00Jan 22, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$5.00Jan 22, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman to human bird flu transmission before February?$5.03Jan 22, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman to human bird flu transmission before February?$14.09Jan 21, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces ceasefire by January 17?$4.00Jan 18, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces ceasefire by January 16?$4.00Jan 18, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman to human bird flu transmission before February?$8.87Jan 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$2.00Jan 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?$1.10Jan 16, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$7.00Jan 16, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELL100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?$7.82Jan 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$10.00Jan 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2025?$10.00Jan 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu declared public health emergency before April?$10.00Jan 11, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $12.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".