Substantial-Resale
0xf294458cc49807bbf3ef58fa1ebcdcf5c184d8fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$163.32
Total PnL
$-21.9K
Realised
$-261.49
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
65246 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$163.12
$-225.29
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
32715 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-331.90
- UNDER
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
7188 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
6579 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
5532 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
4542 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
4527 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.72
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
3577 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- WARRIORS
Clippers vs. Warriors
3232 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-103.99
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.44Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.9KJul 19, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.0KJul 19, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.0KJul 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$703.06Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.7KJul 19, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$10.46Jul 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLautaro Martínez: 1+ goals$2.6KJul 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLautaro Martínez: 1+ goals$3.0KJul 19, 19:49 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.68Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$2.1KJul 18, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: O/U 7.5$4.55Jul 18, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 7.5$4.02Jul 18, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score$428.77Jul 18, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: O/U 4.5$424.59Jul 18, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 4.5$4.0KJul 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$27.43Jul 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.15Jul 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jul 15, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$4.63Jul 14, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jul 7, 18:00 UTC → Jul 7, 17:57 UTC
- SELLArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5$5.9K@97¢Jul 7, 17:57 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
26/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.9K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5
$5.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $653.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.