Substantial-Resale
0xf294458cc49807bbf3ef58fa1ebcdcf5c184d8fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$110.86
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$-229.43
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
16548 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$107.56
$-8.27
- YES
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 9.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.19
$-4.81
- YES
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
32715 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-331.90
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
5532 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
4542 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
4527 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.72
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
3577 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- WARRIORS
Clippers vs. Warriors
3232 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-103.99
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2628 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.98Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.02Jun 6, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.02Jun 6, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.02Jun 6, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jun 6, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jun 6, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jun 6, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jun 6, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.02Jun 6, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.