Growling-Sample
0xf2960714df990b13dc7d51bb6f860b113707c59d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-284.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
2577 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2457 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
2449 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-936.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
2443 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
2440 shares @ 81.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2435 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
2433 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
2430 shares @ 87.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2430 shares @ 86.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2430 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?$1.00Mar 2, 09:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?$1.00Mar 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.69Feb 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$17.55Feb 28, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$101.07Feb 28, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$55.81Feb 28, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$101.56Feb 28, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$50.00Feb 28, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$12.68Feb 28, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$223.84Feb 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.36Feb 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.32Feb 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$57.06Feb 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.57Feb 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$52.47Feb 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$330.14Feb 28, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.41Feb 28, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$334.83Feb 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$336.38Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
- REWARD$1.52Feb 12, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $407.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.