Past-Serval-Doorpost
0xf29e8d59fcfeaa8a38afb567c73d7f6787351352
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-319.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 15?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?
504 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?
104 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
104 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 16?
86 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?
82 shares @ 73.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?
33 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?
25 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 28?$0.04Jul 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 28?$0.56Jul 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 28?$1.04Jul 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 28?$1.52Jul 28, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?$2.94Jul 28, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?$1.54Jul 27, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 27?$2.04Jul 27, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?$3.03Jul 27, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 27?$1.89Jul 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?$0.33Jul 27, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?$1.42Jul 27, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?$1.01Jul 27, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 27?$1.52Jul 27, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 26?$1.44Jul 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$1.52Jul 27, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 26?$2.05Jul 27, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?$1.03Jul 26, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?$2.02Jul 26, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 26?$1.02Jul 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$1.12Jul 26, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.