Live-Thread
0xf2a57a05e4d197e2b488655b012c8330ce4c4931
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Biden resign before the election?
93 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump eligible to vote in the election?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barron tweet in September?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris calls on Eric Adams to resign by Friday?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tyreek Hill sue the cops?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMCaroline Ellison sentenced to 36-47 months in prison?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Nevada rally?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMDiddy released from custody by Friday?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMCaroline Ellison sentenced to 48-59 months in prison?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Aurora in September?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill either candidate say a slur at the VP debate?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy flee the US before October?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill $MATIC be above $1.50 on February 25?$0.00Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLDiddy released from custody before November?$0.82Oct 15, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden pardon Diddy?$2.54Oct 15, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLCOVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$5.50Oct 15, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$10.40Oct 15, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".