Probable-Nougat
0xf2a778863c7797c281934fc206cf704d7ecea52f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on March 27?
8300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on March 27?
3337 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
14 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
13 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- JAZZ
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KNICKS
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UNDER
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 214.5
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- LAKERS
Warriors vs. Lakers
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on March 27?$0.82Mar 28, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on March 27?$1.10Mar 28, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on March 27?$5.33Mar 28, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on March 27?$1.05Mar 28, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on March 27?$3.34Mar 28, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-10.5)$5.00Nov 5, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)$1.35Nov 5, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)$1.75Nov 5, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner$2.41Nov 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner$2.00Oct 25, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)$1.00Oct 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)$1.00Oct 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Lakers$1.00Oct 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?$1.00Jul 13, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 214.5$1.00May 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-4.5)$1.00May 21, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-4.5)$1.00May 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.00May 19, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.00May 19, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Timberwolves$1.00May 15, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".