Mellow-Fork
0xf2aa8381a08ec33467fbcdd0843aa31cb8d521fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$67.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2245 shares @ 64.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$695.09
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
1100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$984.50
$-16.50
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
1567 shares @ 30.2¢·now 29.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$462.34
$-11.60
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
311 shares @ 80.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$264.77
$15.65
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
304 shares @ 63.7¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$205.48
$11.65
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
2478 shares @ 6.3¢·now 7.6¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$188.29
$33.38
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
1621 shares @ 14.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$89.15
$-142.16
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
363 shares @ 14.2¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.04
$-22.52
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
6070 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
140 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.8KJun 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$761.56Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.39Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$5.5KJun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$158.50Jun 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$708.35Jun 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$9.67Jun 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$31.63Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$64.38Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$196.65Jun 12, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$44.49Jun 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$8.55Jun 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$239.25Jun 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$10.18Jun 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$244.69Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$0.92Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$15.36Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$28.80Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$3.36Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$25.44Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $198.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.