0xf2b293ac332a8d6823917213ac5e2fa8e20d252f
0xf2b293ac332a8d6823917213ac5e2fa8e20d252f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$99.50
Total PnL
$-32.58
Realised
$-1.29
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
11 shares @ 40.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$10.99
$6.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 19?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$7.99
$3.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 19?
7 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$7.00
$2.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 19?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$7.00
$2.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 19?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$6.00
$1.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 19?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 19?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 19?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$0.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20?$4.48Aug 19, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 20?$4.20Aug 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 20?$4.71Aug 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 20?$4.67Aug 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 20?$4.82Aug 19, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 20?$3.06Aug 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 20?$4.57Aug 19, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 20?$4.50Aug 19, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 19?$4.62Aug 19, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?$4.67Aug 19, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 19?$4.94Aug 19, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 19?$4.47Aug 19, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 19?$4.84Aug 19, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 19?$4.66Aug 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?$1.68Aug 19, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 19?$4.52Aug 19, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?$4.44Aug 19, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$4.52Aug 19, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?$2.29Aug 19, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 19?$0.57Aug 19, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 04:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.