Tedious-Analyst
0xf2ba6f01ceb20d9b8b4bd7e1d0fb7b6097d31341
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-711.70
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?
19 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
15 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 24?
11 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
11 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 10?
10 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 10?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$1.05Jul 14, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$1.00Jul 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$0.99Jul 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.00Jul 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 14, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$1.33Jul 14, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina to score first vs. Switzerland?$1.56Jul 14, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$1.61Jul 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to score first vs. Switzerland?$1.02Jul 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$1.01Jul 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jul 11, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$5.14Jul 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 10?$1.03Jul 10, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 10?$1.02Jul 10, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$3.00Jul 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 9?$2.50Jul 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?$0.31Jul 9, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?$1.03Jul 9, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 9?$2.02Jul 9, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.