Legitimate-Ballot
0xf2bc64e9596df63fcb1813a5207f00798cc62907
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
7200 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-631.99
- YES
WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch?
5765 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-270.40
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
575 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-105.85
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- TIEN
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien
280 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Mars" during his announcement on September 2?
225 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-54.99
- YES
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?
150 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
WLFI market cap (FDV) $10-12B one day after launch?
141 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
115 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.73
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
71 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.28Jan 26, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.26Jan 26, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.19Jan 26, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.32Jan 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.62Jan 26, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.12Jan 26, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien$98.00Jan 26, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.5KNov 13, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$17.60Nov 11, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.7KNov 4, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.80Nov 4, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.60Nov 4, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.60Nov 4, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.93Nov 4, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$115.93Nov 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.12Nov 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.23Nov 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$22.61Oct 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.26Oct 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.26Oct 2, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $76.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".