Even-Buffet
0xf2be1c7b53567706288a25ee3b5d2abc58754c9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$-3.7K
Win rate
2%
178 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
80 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-23.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$9.69Jun 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.10Jun 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.03Jun 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.03Jun 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.03Jun 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.75Jun 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.03Jun 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.01Jun 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.01Jun 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.02Jun 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.01Jun 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.01Jun 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.02Jun 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.84Jun 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.03Jun 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.02Jun 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.02Jun 18, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$9.69Jun 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.02Jun 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.01Jun 18, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
69/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 178 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
178 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 05:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 178 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.