Informal-Backdrop
0xf2c76e4b134c3bba8ce0e4a92df4536fa0ae5457
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2542 shares @ 87.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.5K
$320.34
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
2333 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.3K
$933.34
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
358 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$358.06
$25.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$333.00Oct 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.4KOct 26, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.2KOct 1, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win La Liga?$3.7KOct 1, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win La Liga?$690.00Apr 2, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$0.00Apr 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$55.50Feb 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win La Liga?$55.50Jan 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win La Liga?$3.0KNov 18, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 18, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$3.4KNov 18, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$408.40Sep 7, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Sep 7, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$505.00Aug 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$600.00Jul 20, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$552.87Jun 15, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $893.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.