Sophisticated-Succotash-Layer
0xf2d4be2007f744a054a5affc4bbaf5de0ef95391
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-190.25
Realised
$11.18
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?
923 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.31
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 3?
465 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?
379 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-45.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?
177 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 4?
161 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 2?
101 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?
48 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.69Jun 7, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.35Jun 7, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.53Jun 7, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.56Jun 7, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.06Jun 7, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$2.56Jun 7, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.68Jun 7, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.88Jun 7, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.26Jun 7, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.42Jun 7, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$2.08Jun 7, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.63Jun 7, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$6.06Jun 7, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.69Jun 7, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$2.14Jun 7, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.55Jun 7, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.06Jun 7, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.37Jun 7, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.79Jun 7, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.45Jun 7, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.