Flimsy-Complication
0xf2d531529f456670d9ca94317660d6d16283aba1
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$221.05
Total PnL
$-174.74
Realised
$-4.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
88 shares @ 57.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.24
$3.08
- YES
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
75 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$51.74
$1.49
- YES
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?
44 shares @ 74.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$29.04
$-3.52
- YES
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?
74 shares @ 64.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$27.19
$-20.62
- NO
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.16
$4.45
- YES
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.80
$0.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.23
$-9.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
60 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$8.10
$-7.50
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.87
$-13.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.63
$-3.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$1.81May 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$4.19May 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$12.50May 18, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTheo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$12.80May 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$14.79May 16, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$0.81May 16, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$54.20May 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 15?$2.00May 15, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$9.80May 15, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$3.80May 14, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$7.30May 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$3.65May 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$3.65May 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$3.65May 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$3.65May 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$11.70May 14, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$1.45May 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$1.45May 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$1.45May 14, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".