Squeaky-Form
0xf2d67b6b2833a1cadd3388cd59f5a8af6d8ade5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-802.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on July 2?
382 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2025$0.00
$-194.92
- YES
Ethereum above $1,600 on April 18?
320 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-150.25
- NO
Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?
260 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-121.15
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?
233 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-116.47
- SENATORS
Hurricanes vs. Senators
186 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-87.44
- CANUCKS
Kraken vs. Canucks
121 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-69.01
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
82 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-35.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?
46 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-28.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMJets vs. Ducks$150.91Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Ducks$83.00Feb 27, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Senators$87.44Jan 24, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken vs. Canucks$69.01Jan 3, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$35.04Dec 2, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 26?$28.57Aug 25, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on July 2?$194.92Jul 1, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$201.88Jul 1, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$201.07Jun 29, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?$116.47Jun 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$121.15May 7, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $1,600 on April 18?$150.25Apr 15, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high by March 31?$71.76Apr 1, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by March 31?$71.69Mar 29, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win La Liga?$61.23Mar 8, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win La Liga?$64.02Mar 5, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$57.45Feb 10, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$27.00Feb 3, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$47.63Feb 1, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$20.48Jan 30, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $56.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.