Upset-Attempt
0xf2ddbbff7bc5193c5a17c9320886965b478482d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$601.27
Total PnL
$36.86
Realised
$175.83
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1208 shares @ 20.1¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$241.60
$-1.61
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
400 shares @ 31.4¢·now 25.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.80
$-21.78
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
864 shares @ 7.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$82.03
$21.59
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
199 shares @ 58.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$66.81
$-50.72
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.00
$-34.08
- YES
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 16.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.00
$-28.00
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
200 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.90
$-5.70
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.85
$2.05
- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
285 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.42
$0.24
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
4 shares @ 4.0¢·now 24.6¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.04
$0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.95May 18, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$62.70May 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$1.18May 18, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$0.53May 18, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$5.38May 18, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$60.07May 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$53.57May 14, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$5.80May 14, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$1.58May 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$0.04May 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$0.01May 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$29.11May 13, 06:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.00May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$85.00May 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$35.10May 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.90May 12, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.57May 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$216.21May 11, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$38.95May 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19.60May 8, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $43.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".